The key as always seems to be D Wade. If D Wade and to a lesser extent Chris Bosh opt into their contracts the chances of LeBron leaving increase greatly.
If that is the case LeBron has a prime destination in mind according to WoJo from Yahoo Sports.
The most intriguing move on the mind of James and his camp, sources told Yahoo Sports, would be a sign-and-trade scenario with the Los Angeles Clippers in which James could play with close friend Chris Paul and under president-coach Doc Rivers. Nevertheless, Miami has remained the primary consideration for James, sources said. He wants to see Riley’s plans for improving the roster.
As for sign-and-trade scenarios, in which Riley would have to assist James in getting his maximum financial payout with a new team, the organization has been privately adamant that they’d never do it, league sources said. If James wanted to force his way to the Clippers, he’d have to create the fear within Miami that it could lose him for nothing to a team with the salary cap space to sign him.
I assume the player the Clippers would have to part with is Blake Griffin, but I don’t think they would hesitate to do so. I think the Heat’s hardline stance on not doing a sign and trade would soften if LeBron told them he was leaving with or without their help.
They have zero leverage, the King holds all the cards.