New York Jets at Buffalo Bills
NFL betting odds: BUFFALO -5.5, Total 42.5
NOTABLE STAT: Jets have allowed only 3.2 yards per rushing attempt
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Bills are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 at home
(For more useful stats and trends, visit our special Matchup Tool)
The New York Jets (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS) don't generally do very well on the road, and so they have their work cut out for them on Sunday when they travel to face the Buffalo Bills (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) in NFL football sports betting action that is set to kick off at 1 PM ET at Ralph Wilson Stadium (artificial turf) in Orchard Park, NY.
In the NFL football betting odds, the Bills are listed as a 5.5-point favorite, with a posted total of 42.5 points.
Here are some NFL football sports betting trends as they relate to this sports betting matchup:
* NY has covered two of its last six games
* NY has lost 16 of its last 24 games SU
* NY has played eight of its last 11 games UNDER the total
* NY has covered four of its last six road games
* NY has lost 10 of its last 12 road games SU
* NY has played four of its last five road games UNDER the total
* BUFF has won five of its last seven games SU
* BUFF has covered 12 of its last 16 home games
* BUFF has won four of its last five home games SU
* BUFF has played six of its last seven home games OVER the total
Also...
* BUFF has covered seven of the last nine meetings
* BUFF has won five of the last seven meetings SU
* Five of the last seven meetings have gone OVER the total
* BUFF has won and covered four of the last five meetings as the home team
* Six of the last eight meetings at Orchard Park have gone OVER the total
The Jets have topped the 400-yard mark the last two weeks, but all that has produced was a loss to the Oakland raiders and a four-point win over a Kansas City team that has won only once. What this means is something we'd be worried about if we were Jets backs, which is that Brett Favre is starting to become undependable. The former Green Bay quarterback three three interceptions against Kansas City's secondary last week, and he now has 11 for the year. So no matter how much production he has, he has the capacity to give it all back.
This kind of multiplies problems when you're going up against a quarterback who may not be capable of as many spectacular moments as Favre, but is at least able to control the ball better. Trent Edwards has only five TD passes, and slightly over 200 yards passing per game, but he has thrown only three interceptions. The running game he has at his disposal carries him a bit, and Buffalo makes opponents work a little harder to score than the Jets do. In the statistic of "yards per point," Buffalo foes have to gain 14.8 yards for every point they score, while that figure is only 13 yards for New York.
A lot of this stuff carries some meaning when you consider the home-road dynamic here. In Orchard Park the Bills are a very tough squad to deal with, covering 12 of their last 16 attempts. Meanwhile, New York has lost 10 of its last 12 on the road. So I wouldn't read too much into Buffalo's recent road losses at Arizona and Miami. This is where they do their best work. For us, it's Buffalo, the 5.5-point favorite in the NFL football sports betting odds.
PLAY: BUFFALO -5.5 **
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)
